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| Criterion |  Business Strategy Scenario Planning |  Systems Thinking Leverage Points |  Decision Making Delphi Method |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | Scenario Planning opens the view to several plausible futures instead of a single forecast. The method protects strategies from depending on too narrow an expected path. | Leverage Points show exactly where interventions in a system produce a disproportionate effect. It draws relationships, patterns, and feedback loops. The result is captured as a leverage map and action strategy. | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. |
Complexitysame | High | High | High |
Timedifferent | 0.5-2 Tage | Half day | 1-4 Wochen |
Participantsdifferent | 4-12 | 3-12 | 6-30 Experten |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Workshop | Async |
Outputdifferent | Scenario Set, Strategic Implications, Robust Options | Leverage Map, Action Strategy | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes |
Tags1 shared | StrategyUncertaintyPlanning | Systems thinkingChangeStrategy | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy |
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