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| Criterion |  Business Strategy Scenario Planning |  Innovation Lean Startup |  Business Strategy GAP Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | Scenario Planning opens the view to several plausible futures instead of a single forecast. The method protects strategies from depending on too narrow an expected path. | For uncertain business assumptions, the method forces the idea into contact with real market reactions early. It separates wishful picture, assumption, and observable behavior, so that learning becomes faster than planning. This translates uncertainty into measurable insight. | GAP Analysis compares the current state with a target picture and makes the distance manageable. It becomes useful when, ahead of new initiatives, it must become clear which capabilities, processes, or resources are missing. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Medium | Medium |
Timedifferent | 0.5-2 Tage | Wochen bis Monate je Lernzyklus | 1-3 h |
Participantsdifferent | 4-12 | 2-8 | 2-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Scenario Set, Strategic Implications, Robust Options | Hypothesis list, MVPs, Learning reports, Pivot or persevere decision | Gap Matrix, Action Plan, Risk Notes |
Tagsno overlap | StrategyUncertaintyPlanning | LeanStartupValidationMVP | StrategyAnalysisPlanning |
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