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Criterion
Scenario Planning method illustration showing its working structure
Business Strategy
Scenario Planning
Paper illustration of a branching impact map with a Why goal at the root, actor circles, How behavior changes and What options.
Product Strategy
Impact Mapping
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Purposedifferent
Scenario Planning opens the view to several plausible futures instead of a single forecast. The method protects strategies from depending on too narrow an expected path.When a goal needs to be connected to several possible paths, it shows chains of impact instead of feature lists. It connects business goal, behavior change, and measures.When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first.
Complexitydifferent
HighMediumMedium
Timedifferent
0.5-2 Tage45-90 min45-60 min
Participantsdifferent
4-123-82-8
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshopWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Scenario Set, Strategic Implications, Robust OptionsImpact Map, Outcome Hypotheses, Delivery OptionsAssumption map, Test backlog, Risk ranking
Tagsno overlap
StrategyUncertaintyPlanning
OutcomesStrategyBehaviorPlanning
AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation
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Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.

Paper illustration of GIST Planning with its method-specific working model.
Product Strategy
GIST Planning
Paper illustration of Riskiest Assumption Test with a method-specific labelled workspace.
Product Discovery
Riskiest Assumption Test
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing