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| Criterion |  Business Strategy Scenario Planning |  Knowledge Modeling IBIS |  Systems Thinking VUCA Scan |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | Scenario Planning opens the view to several plausible futures instead of a single forecast. The method protects strategies from depending on too narrow an expected path. | IBIS structures thinking about complex questions as a sequence of issues, ideas, and arguments. The method keeps discussions open without forcing them into premature consensus. | The VUCA Scan helps read difficult situations more precisely. Instead of treating unclarity as generally complicated, the method separates fast change, missing knowledge, systemic entanglement, and ambiguous interpretation. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Medium | Low |
Timedifferent | 0.5-2 Tage | 1-3 h | 30-90 min |
Participantsdifferent | 4-12 | 2-8 | 1-10 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Scenario Set, Strategic Implications, Robust Options | Issue Map, Positions, Argument Notes | VUCA Map, Response Options, Signal and Learning Plan |
Tagsno overlap | StrategyUncertaintyPlanning | RationaleKnowledgeDecision | SensemakingUncertaintyComplexityStrategyForesight |
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