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Criterion
Scenario Planning method illustration showing its working structure
Business Strategy
Scenario Planning
Paper illustration for Future Reality Tree.
Systems Thinking
Future Reality Tree
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Purposedifferent
Scenario Planning opens the view to several plausible futures instead of a single forecast. The method protects strategies from depending on too narrow an expected path.A Future Reality Tree shows how desired actions are meant to lead to a better system state. The method checks whether a path of change holds together logically before time flows into implementation.When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.
Complexitysame
HighHighHigh
Timedifferent
0.5-2 Tage2-4 h1-4 Wochen
Participantsdifferent
4-123-86-30 Experten
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshopAsync
Outputdifferent
Scenario Set, Strategic Implications, Robust OptionsFuture Reality Tree, Negative Branches, Assumption List, Improved InjectionsExpert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes
Tagsno overlap
StrategyUncertaintyPlanning
Theory of ConstraintsSystems thinkingChange
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
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Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.

Paper illustration of the Force Field Analysis working structure.
Decision Making
Force Field Analysis
Paper illustration of Leverage Points with its method-specific working model.
Systems Thinking
Leverage Points
Paper illustration for OODA Loop.
Decision Making
OODA Loop
Paper illustration for Constraint Analysis.
Decision Making
Constraint Analysis