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| Criterion |  Business Strategy Scenario Planning |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Decision Making Option Framing |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | Scenario Planning opens the view to several plausible futures instead of a single forecast. The method protects strategies from depending on too narrow an expected path. | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | In early decisions, alternatives are often still vague, incomplete, or blended together. Option Framing brings every possibility into a comparable form and makes visible which variant actually fits the question. |
Complexitydifferent | High | High | Medium |
Timedifferent | 0.5-2 Tage | 1-4 Wochen | 45-120 min |
Participantsdifferent | 4-12 | 6-30 Experten | 3-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Scenario Set, Strategic Implications, Robust Options | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Option Frames, Assumption Notes, Comparable Shortlist, Decision Inputs |
Tags1 shared | StrategyUncertaintyPlanning | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | OptionsDecision framingStrategyComparison |
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