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| Criterion |  Business Strategy Scenario Planning |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Systems Thinking Leverage Points |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | Scenario Planning opens the view to several plausible futures instead of a single forecast. The method protects strategies from depending on too narrow an expected path. | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | Leverage Points show exactly where interventions in a system produce a disproportionate effect. It draws relationships, patterns, and feedback loops. The result is captured as a leverage map and action strategy. |
Complexitysame | High | High | High |
Timedifferent | 0.5-2 Tage | 1-4 Wochen | Half day |
Participantsdifferent | 4-12 | 6-30 Experten | 3-12 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Scenario Set, Strategic Implications, Robust Options | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Leverage Map, Action Strategy |
Tags1 shared | StrategyUncertaintyPlanning | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | Systems thinkingChangeStrategy |
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