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| Criterion |  Business Strategy Scenario Planning |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Decision Making Decision Tree |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | Scenario Planning opens the view to several plausible futures instead of a single forecast. The method protects strategies from depending on too narrow an expected path. | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | For decisions with follow-on paths and dependencies, a linear comparison is often not enough. A Decision Tree shows how options branch under conditions and which consequences hang on each branch. |
Complexitydifferent | High | High | Medium |
Timedifferent | 0.5-2 Tage | 1-4 Wochen | 30-90 min |
Participantsdifferent | 4-12 | 6-30 Experten | 1-6 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Scenario Set, Strategic Implications, Robust Options | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Decision Tree, Option Map, Assumption List |
Tagsno overlap | StrategyUncertaintyPlanning | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | DecisionTreeOptions |
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