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| Criterion | ![]() Business Strategy Scenario Planning | ![]() Decision Making Cynefin Workshop | ![]() Decision Making Assumption Surfacing |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | Scenario Planning opens the view to several plausible futures instead of a single forecast. The method protects strategies from depending on too narrow an expected path. | When problems are unclear, chaotic, or only seemingly familiar, standard recipes fall short. A Cynefin Workshop sorts situations by the nature of their problem and connects them with matching action logic. | Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Medium | Low |
Timedifferent | 0.5-2 Tage | 60-180 min | 45-90 min |
Participantsdifferent | 4-12 | 4-20 | 2-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Workshop | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Scenario Set, Strategic Implications, Robust Options | Cynefin Map, Domain-specific Actions, Sensemaking Notes | Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning Plan |
Tagsno overlap | StrategyUncertaintyPlanning | ComplexitySensemakingDecision | AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery |
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