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| Criterion | ![]() Business Strategy Scenario Planning | ![]() Systems Thinking Current Reality Tree | ![]() Operations Barrier Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | Scenario Planning opens the view to several plausible futures instead of a single forecast. The method protects strategies from depending on too narrow an expected path. | A Current Reality Tree condenses many symptoms into a few causal chains. The method makes visible which core problems drive several negative effects at once. | For a risk that can only be managed through multiple layers of protection, the method examines the effectiveness of each barrier. It shows where safeguards are missing, too weak, or fail under real conditions. |
Complexitydifferent | High | High | Medium |
Timedifferent | 0.5-2 Tage | 2-6 h | 2-4 h |
Participantsdifferent | 4-12 | 3-8 | 2-6 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Workshop | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Scenario Set, Strategic Implications, Robust Options | Current Reality Tree, Core Problems, Intervention Ideas | Barrier Inventory, Failure Analysis per Barrier, Action Backlog |
Tagsno overlap | StrategyUncertaintyPlanning | Systems thinkingRoot causeConstraintsCausality | Root causeSafetyIncident |
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