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| Criterion |  Business Strategy Scenario Planning |  Decision Making Assumption Surfacing |  Business Strategy GAP Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | Scenario Planning opens the view to several plausible futures instead of a single forecast. The method protects strategies from depending on too narrow an expected path. | Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it. | GAP Analysis compares the current state with a target picture and makes the distance manageable. It becomes useful when, ahead of new initiatives, it must become clear which capabilities, processes, or resources are missing. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Low | Medium |
Timedifferent | 0.5-2 Tage | 45-90 min | 1-3 h |
Participantsdifferent | 4-12 | 2-8 | 2-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Scenario Set, Strategic Implications, Robust Options | Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning Plan | Gap Matrix, Action Plan, Risk Notes |
Tagsno overlap | StrategyUncertaintyPlanning | AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery | StrategyAnalysisPlanning |
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