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| Criterion |  Business Strategy Scenario Planning |  Decision Making Assumption Surfacing |  Product Discovery Experiment Canvas |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | Scenario Planning opens the view to several plausible futures instead of a single forecast. The method protects strategies from depending on too narrow an expected path. | Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it. | When experiments become unreadable after the fact, it arranges hypothesis, signal, and learning goal on a single canvas. It separates problem, assumption, solution, and evidence. The result is captured as a Completed Experiment Canvas and a Success Metric. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Low | Low |
Timedifferent | 0.5-2 Tage | 45-90 min | 30-60 min |
Participantsdifferent | 4-12 | 2-8 | 1-5 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Scenario Set, Strategic Implications, Robust Options | Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning Plan | Completed Experiment Canvas, Success Metric |
Tagsno overlap | StrategyUncertaintyPlanning | AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery | ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryHypothesis |
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