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| Criterion |  Business Strategy Scenario Planning |  Operations ALPEN Method |  Decision Making Pre-Mortem |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | Scenario Planning opens the view to several plausible futures instead of a single forecast. The method protects strategies from depending on too narrow an expected path. | With an overloaded day full of too many tasks, a realistic picture of the day emerges. The method connects estimating, deciding, and buffer thinking so planning fits available energy and time. | In early initiatives with many uncertainties, planning quickly turns too optimistic. A pre-mortem makes the expected failure visible in advance and sharpens the view of causes, gaps, and countermeasures. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Low | Low |
Timedifferent | 0.5-2 Tage | 10-20 min daily | 20–45 min |
Participantsdifferent | 4-12 | 1 | Small cross-functional group |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Scenario Set, Strategic Implications, Robust Options | Daily Plan, Time Estimates, Review Notes | Risk list, Mitigation plan, Assumption log |
Tags1 shared | StrategyUncertaintyPlanning | PlanningTime managementProductivityOperations | RiskDecisionFailurePlanning |
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