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| Criterion |  Decision Making Risk Matrix |  Product Discovery Assumption Mapping |  Systems Thinking Evaporating Cloud |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When a project faces many possible disruptions, it quickly becomes unclear which risks deserve attention first. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Risk Matrix and a Top Risk List. | When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first. | The method makes visible why two seemingly incompatible demands arise and which assumption must be tested to resolve the conflict. |
Complexitydifferent | Low | Medium | Medium |
Timedifferent | 30-60 min | 45-60 min | 60-120 min |
Participantsdifferent | 3-10 | 2-8 | 2-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Risk Matrix, Top Risk List | Assumption map, Test backlog, Risk ranking | Conflict Cloud, Assumption List, Breakthrough Ideas, Next Experiments |
Tagsno overlap | RiskDecisionPrioritizationAssessment | AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation | Theory of ConstraintsAssumptionsSystems thinking |
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