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| Criterion |  Decision Making Red Teaming |  Decision Making Pre-Mortem |  Product Discovery Smoke Test |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | For strategic decisions with high reach, agreement and gut feeling are often not enough. Red teaming brings deliberate opposition into the situation and tests where a plan breaks under real counterarguments. | In early initiatives with many uncertainties, planning quickly turns too optimistic. A pre-mortem makes the expected failure visible in advance and sharpens the view of causes, gaps, and countermeasures. | When demand only needs to be roughly verified, it tests interest with minimal effort. It measures whether people would take a next step at all. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Low | Low |
Timedifferent | 1-4 h | 20–45 min | 1-5 Tage |
Participantsdifferent | 3-8 | Small cross-functional group | Nutzertraffic |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Workshop | Async |
Outputdifferent | Challenge Findings, Risk Register, Mitigation Plan | Risk list, Mitigation plan, Assumption log | Interest Metrics, Conversion Signal, Learning Note |
Tagsno overlap | RiskDecisionSensemaking | RiskDecisionFailurePlanning | ValidationExperimentsDemandGrowth |
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Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.
