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Criterion
Paper illustration of RAID Log with a method-specific labelled workspace.
Delivery
RAID Log
A hypothetical failure makes concrete risks, signals, and fitting mitigations visible.
Decision Making
Pre-Mortem
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Purposedifferent
Helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, boundaries, and order steerable. The result is captured as a RAID Log and a source for status reporting.In early initiatives with many uncertainties, planning quickly turns too optimistic. A pre-mortem makes the expected failure visible in advance and sharpens the view of causes, gaps, and countermeasures.Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.
Complexitysame
LowLowLow
Timedifferent
30 min Setup, dann laufend20–45 min45-90 min
Participantsdifferent
1-3 maintaining, briefing for everyoneSmall cross-functional group2-8
Formatdifferent
AsyncWorkshopWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
RAID Log, Status Report SourceRisk list, Mitigation plan, Assumption logAssumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning Plan
Tags1 shared
RiskTrackingStakeholdersGovernance
RiskDecisionFailurePlanning
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
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Often compared together

Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.

Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Paper illustration for Communication Plan
Delivery
Communication Plan
Paper illustration for Constraint Analysis.
Decision Making
Constraint Analysis