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| Criterion |  Product Discovery Pretotyping |  Systems Thinking Evaporating Cloud |  Decision Making Delphi Method |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | Pretotyping clarifies whether a customer problem and solution idea create enough real demand. It separates problem, assumption, solution, and evidence, and captures the result as a pretotyping sketch, test setup, and conversion data. | The method makes visible why two seemingly incompatible demands arise and which assumption must be tested to resolve the conflict. | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. |
Complexitydifferent | Low | Medium | High |
Timedifferent | Stunden bis wenige Tage | 60-120 min | 1-4 Wochen |
Participantsdifferent | 1-4 | 2-8 | 6-30 Experten |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop | Async |
Outputdifferent | Pretotyping sketch, Test setup, Conversion data, Go or no-go decision | Conflict Cloud, Assumption List, Breakthrough Ideas, Next Experiments | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes |
Tagsno overlap | ValidationDemandMVP | Theory of ConstraintsAssumptionsSystems thinking | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy |
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