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| Criterion |  Decision Making Pre-Mortem |  Systems Thinking Theory of Constraints Thinking Process |  Product Discovery Assumption Mapping |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | In early initiatives with many uncertainties, planning quickly turns too optimistic. A pre-mortem makes the expected failure visible in advance and sharpens the view of causes, gaps, and countermeasures. | The Theory of Constraints Thinking Process exposes a system's bottleneck and the logic behind it. It suits situations where many symptoms trace back to the same limiting relationship. | When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first. |
Complexitydifferent | Low | High | Medium |
Timedifferent | 20–45 min | 0.5-3 Tage | 45-60 min |
Participantsdifferent | Small cross-functional group | 4-10 | 2-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Workshop | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Risk list, Mitigation plan, Assumption log | Current Reality Logic, Conflict Cloud, Future Reality Tree, Implementation Obstacles | Assumption map, Test backlog, Risk ranking |
Tagsno overlap | RiskDecisionFailurePlanning | Theory of ConstraintsConstraintsSystems thinkingCausality | AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation |
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