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| Criterion |  Decision Making Pre-Mortem |  Product Discovery Smoke Test |  Operations Fault Tree Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | In early initiatives with many uncertainties, planning quickly turns too optimistic. A pre-mortem makes the expected failure visible in advance and sharpens the view of causes, gaps, and countermeasures. | When demand only needs to be roughly verified, it tests interest with minimal effort. It measures whether people would take a next step at all. | For a critical top event with several possible triggers, the method logically models failure paths. It makes visible which combinations of conditions can lead to damage. |
Complexitydifferent | Low | Low | High |
Timedifferent | 20–45 min | 1-5 Tage | 2-6 h |
Participantsdifferent | Small cross-functional group | Nutzertraffic | 3-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Risk list, Mitigation plan, Assumption log | Interest Metrics, Conversion Signal, Learning Note | Fault Tree, Critical Paths, Cause Hypotheses, Control Actions |
Tagsno overlap | RiskDecisionFailurePlanning | ValidationExperimentsDemandGrowth | RiskRoot causeSafety |
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Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.
