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| Criterion |  Decision Making Pre-Mortem |  Decision Making OODA Loop |  Decision Making Delphi Method |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | In early initiatives with many uncertainties, planning quickly turns too optimistic. A pre-mortem makes the expected failure visible in advance and sharpens the view of causes, gaps, and countermeasures. | In dynamic situations, decisions become outdated faster than they can be prepared. The OODA Loop holds observing, orienting, deciding, and acting together as a recurring rhythm so reaction does not slide into inertia. | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. |
Complexitydifferent | Low | Medium | High |
Timedifferent | 20–45 min | 15-60 min je Zyklus | 1-4 Wochen |
Participantsdifferent | Small cross-functional group | 1-8 | 6-30 Experten |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Workshop + async | Async |
Outputdifferent | Risk list, Mitigation plan, Assumption log | Situation Assessment, Decision Loop, Action Updates | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes |
Tags1 shared | RiskDecisionFailurePlanning | DecisionChangeLearningStrategy | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy |
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