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| Criterion |  Decision Making Pre-Mortem |  Decision Making Force Field Analysis |  Decision Making Delphi Method |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | In early initiatives with many uncertainties, planning quickly turns too optimistic. A pre-mortem makes the expected failure visible in advance and sharpens the view of causes, gaps, and countermeasures. | In change initiatives, supporting and restraining forces sit at the table at the same time. Force Field Analysis makes these tensions explicit and shows where change can be pushed forward by strengthening or relieving. | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. |
Complexitydifferent | Low | Low | High |
Timedifferent | 20–45 min | 45-90 min | 1-4 Wochen |
Participantsdifferent | Small cross-functional group | 3-12 | 6-30 Experten |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Workshop | Async |
Outputdifferent | Risk list, Mitigation plan, Assumption log | Force Field Map, Change Levers, Risk Notes | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes |
Tags1 shared | RiskDecisionFailurePlanning | ChangeDecisionStrategy | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy |
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