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| Criterion |  Decision Making Pre-Mortem |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Business Strategy GAP Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | In early initiatives with many uncertainties, planning quickly turns too optimistic. A pre-mortem makes the expected failure visible in advance and sharpens the view of causes, gaps, and countermeasures. | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | GAP Analysis compares the current state with a target picture and makes the distance manageable. It becomes useful when, ahead of new initiatives, it must become clear which capabilities, processes, or resources are missing. |
Complexitydifferent | Low | High | Medium |
Timedifferent | 20–45 min | 1-4 Wochen | 1-3 h |
Participantsdifferent | Small cross-functional group | 6-30 Experten | 2-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Risk list, Mitigation plan, Assumption log | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Gap Matrix, Action Plan, Risk Notes |
Tagsno overlap | RiskDecisionFailurePlanning | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | StrategyAnalysisPlanning |
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