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Criterion
A hypothetical failure makes concrete risks, signals, and fitting mitigations visible.
Decision Making
Pre-Mortem
Paper illustration for Causal Factor Analysis.
Operations
Causal Factor Analysis
Paper illustration for Fault Tree Analysis.
Operations
Fault Tree Analysis
Purposedifferent
In early initiatives with many uncertainties, planning quickly turns too optimistic. A pre-mortem makes the expected failure visible in advance and sharpens the view of causes, gaps, and countermeasures.For an event with a complicated course, the method breaks down the contributing factors along the timeline. It shows how conditions, decisions, and reactions together produce a course of events.For a critical top event with several possible triggers, the method logically models failure paths. It makes visible which combinations of conditions can lead to damage.
Complexitydifferent
LowHighHigh
Timedifferent
20–45 min2-6 h2-6 h
Participantsdifferent
Small cross-functional group3-103-8
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Risk list, Mitigation plan, Assumption logEvent Timeline, Causal Factor Chart, Cause List, Corrective ActionsFault Tree, Critical Paths, Cause Hypotheses, Control Actions
Tagsno overlap
RiskDecisionFailurePlanning
CausalityIncidentRoot causeTimeline
RiskRoot causeSafety
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Often compared together

Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.

Paper illustration of Barrier Analysis with its method-specific working model.
Operations
Barrier Analysis
Paper illustration of MORT Analysis with its method-specific working model.
Operations
MORT Analysis
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing