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| Criterion |  Decision Making Pre-Mortem |  Decision Making Assumption Surfacing |  Product Discovery Learning Card |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | In early initiatives with many uncertainties, planning quickly turns too optimistic. A pre-mortem makes the expected failure visible in advance and sharpens the view of causes, gaps, and countermeasures. | Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it. | The Learning Card connects traceable test results to a reasoned next action while keeping the limits of the insight visible. |
Complexitysame | Low | Low | Low |
Timedifferent | 20–45 min | 45-90 min | 25-40 min |
Participantsdifferent | Small cross-functional group | 2-8 | 1-5 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Risk list, Mitigation plan, Assumption log | Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning Plan | Learning Card with evidence and next action |
Tagsno overlap | RiskDecisionFailurePlanning | AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery | ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryLearning |
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