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| Criterion | ![]() Decision Making Pre-Mortem | ![]() Product Discovery Assumption Mapping | ![]() Innovation Lean Startup |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | In early initiatives with many uncertainties, planning quickly turns too optimistic. A pre-mortem makes the expected failure visible in advance and sharpens the view of causes, gaps, and countermeasures. | When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first. | For uncertain business assumptions, the method forces the idea into contact with real market reactions early. It separates wishful picture, assumption, and observable behavior, so that learning becomes faster than planning. This translates uncertainty into measurable insight. |
Complexitydifferent | Low | Medium | Medium |
Timedifferent | 20–45 min | 45-60 min | Wochen bis Monate je Lernzyklus |
Participantsdifferent | Small cross-functional group | 2-8 | 2-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Risk list, Mitigation plan, Assumption log | Assumption map, Test backlog, Risk ranking | Hypothesis list, MVPs, Learning reports, Pivot or persevere decision |
Tagsno overlap | RiskDecisionFailurePlanning | AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation | LeanStartupValidationMVP |
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