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| Criterion |  Decision Making Pre-Mortem |  Product Discovery Assumption Mapping |  Agile Affinity Estimation |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | In early initiatives with many uncertainties, planning quickly turns too optimistic. A pre-mortem makes the expected failure visible in advance and sharpens the view of causes, gaps, and countermeasures. | When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first. | When many tasks need to be classified quickly, it sorts them by perceived effort and similarity. It reduces the effort of fine-grained estimation for large volumes. |
Complexitydifferent | Low | Medium | Medium |
Timedifferent | 20–45 min | 45-60 min | 30-90 min |
Participantsdifferent | Small cross-functional group | 2-8 | 3-12 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Workshop + async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Risk list, Mitigation plan, Assumption log | Assumption map, Test backlog, Risk ranking | Affinity Size Map, Grouped Estimates, Unclear Items |
Tagsno overlap | RiskDecisionFailurePlanning | AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation | EstimationBacklogRelative sizing |
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