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Criterion
A hypothetical failure makes concrete risks, signals, and fitting mitigations visible.
Decision Making
Pre-Mortem
A/B Testing workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Growth
A/B Testing
Paper illustration of ICE Scoring with its method-specific working model.
Product Strategy
ICE Scoring
Purposedifferent
In early initiatives with many uncertainties, planning quickly turns too optimistic. A pre-mortem makes the expected failure visible in advance and sharpens the view of causes, gaps, and countermeasures.When two variants compete, discussions quickly decide by taste rather than effect. A/B Testing checks behavior under controlled conditions and separates real improvement from chance or expectation effects.When ideas need sorting quickly, it condenses impact, confidence, and effort into one compact score. It connects customer value, product logic, and decision priorities. The result is captured as an ICE table and top-ideas list.
Complexitydifferent
LowHighLow
Timedifferent
20–45 min1-4 Wochen30-60 min
Participantsdifferent
Small cross-functional group1-62-8
Formatdifferent
WorkshopAsyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Risk list, Mitigation plan, Assumption logExperiment results, Decision log, Learning summaryICE Table, Top Idea List
Tagsno overlap
RiskDecisionFailurePlanning
ExperimentsGrowthAnalyticsValidation
PrioritizationScoringGrowthDecision
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Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Paper illustration of a calibrated five-by-five risk matrix with response cards.
Decision Making
Risk Matrix
Paper illustration for Smoke Test.
Product Discovery
Smoke Test
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing