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Criterion
A hypothetical failure makes concrete risks, signals, and fitting mitigations visible.
Decision Making
Pre-Mortem
A/B Testing workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Growth
A/B Testing
Paper illustration for Fake Door Test
Product Discovery
Fake Door Test
Purposedifferent
In early initiatives with many uncertainties, planning quickly turns too optimistic. A pre-mortem makes the expected failure visible in advance and sharpens the view of causes, gaps, and countermeasures.When two variants compete, discussions quickly decide by taste rather than effect. A/B Testing checks behavior under controlled conditions and separates real improvement from chance or expectation effects.When demand is still unclear, it measures interest in a feature before it is built. It separates real behavior from polite agreement and deliberately keeps build effort small.
Complexitydifferent
LowHighMedium
Timedifferent
20–45 min1-4 Wochen1-5 Tage
Participantsdifferent
Small cross-functional group1-6Nutzertraffic
Formatdifferent
WorkshopAsyncAsync
Outputdifferent
Risk list, Mitigation plan, Assumption logExperiment results, Decision log, Learning summaryClick Data, Interest Signal, Learning Decision
Tagsno overlap
RiskDecisionFailurePlanning
ExperimentsGrowthAnalyticsValidation
ValidationExperimentsDemandDiscovery
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Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.

Paper illustration for Smoke Test.
Product Discovery
Smoke Test
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Paper illustration of Experiment Canvas with a method-specific labelled workspace.
Product Discovery
Experiment Canvas