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| Criterion |  Agile Planning Poker |  Decision Making Wideband Delphi |  Decision Making Assumption Surfacing |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When estimates within the team diverge too much, it puts differing expectations on a common test bench. It separates rough complexity from unspoken assumptions. | A single opinion rarely holds up for planning when the future is genuinely uncertain. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as an Estimate Range, Assumption Log, and Expert Consensus Notes. | Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it. |
Complexitydifferent | Low | High | Low |
Timedifferent | 2-5 min je Item | 1-4 h or multiple rounds | 45-90 min |
Participantsdifferent | 3-9 | 4-12 Experten | 2-8 |
Formatsame | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Relative Estimates, Assumption Notes, Split Candidates | Estimate Range, Assumption Log, Expert Consensus Notes | Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning Plan |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationAgileRelative sizingTeam | EstimationExpertsForecasting | AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery |
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