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| Criterion |  Agile Planning Poker |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Product Discovery Assumption Mapping |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When estimates within the team diverge too much, it puts differing expectations on a common test bench. It separates rough complexity from unspoken assumptions. | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first. |
Complexitydifferent | Low | High | Medium |
Timedifferent | 2-5 min je Item | 1-4 Wochen | 45-60 min |
Participantsdifferent | 3-9 | 6-30 Experten | 2-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Relative Estimates, Assumption Notes, Split Candidates | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Assumption map, Test backlog, Risk ranking |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationAgileRelative sizingTeam | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation |
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