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| Criterion |  Agile Planning Poker |  Decision Making Assumption Surfacing |  Product Discovery Assumption Mapping |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When estimates within the team diverge too much, it puts differing expectations on a common test bench. It separates rough complexity from unspoken assumptions. | Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it. | When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first. |
Complexitydifferent | Low | Low | Medium |
Timedifferent | 2-5 min je Item | 45-90 min | 45-60 min |
Participantsdifferent | 3-9 | 2-8 | 2-8 |
Formatsame | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Relative Estimates, Assumption Notes, Split Candidates | Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning Plan | Assumption map, Test backlog, Risk ranking |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationAgileRelative sizingTeam | AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery | AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation |
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