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| Criterion |  Decision Making PERT Estimation |  Business Strategy Scenario Planning |  Business Strategy Value Chain Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes. | Scenario Planning opens the view to several plausible futures instead of a single forecast. The method protects strategies from depending on too narrow an expected path. | Value Chain Analysis shows where value is created, costs accrue, and differentiation becomes possible along the process. It compares strengths, risks, market logic, and courses of action. The result is captured as a value-chain map and lever list. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | High | High |
Timedifferent | 15-45 min | 0.5-2 Tage | Half day |
Participantsdifferent | 1-8 | 4-12 | 3-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | PERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk Notes | Scenario Set, Strategic Implications, Robust Options | Value Chain Map, Lever List |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationUncertaintyRisk | StrategyUncertaintyPlanning | StrategyBusiness modelDiagnosisAnalysis |
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