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Criterion
Paper illustration for PERT Estimation.
Decision Making
PERT Estimation
Paper illustration of RAID Log with a method-specific labelled workspace.
Delivery
RAID Log
Paper illustration for Fake Door Test
Product Discovery
Fake Door Test
Purposedifferent
On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes.Helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, boundaries, and order steerable. The result is captured as a RAID Log and a source for status reporting.When demand is still unclear, it measures interest in a feature before it is built. It separates real behavior from polite agreement and deliberately keeps build effort small.
Complexitydifferent
MediumLowMedium
Timedifferent
15-45 min30 min Setup, dann laufend1-5 Tage
Participantsdifferent
1-81-3 maintaining, briefing for everyoneNutzertraffic
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncAsyncAsync
Outputdifferent
PERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk NotesRAID Log, Status Report SourceClick Data, Interest Signal, Learning Decision
Tagsno overlap
EstimationUncertaintyRisk
RiskTrackingStakeholdersGovernance
ValidationExperimentsDemandDiscovery
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Often compared together

Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.

Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Paper illustration of Experiment Canvas with a method-specific labelled workspace.
Product Discovery
Experiment Canvas
Paper illustration of a Learning Card with four fields for hypothesis, observation, insight, and action.
Product Discovery
Learning Card
Paper illustration of MVP Test Matrix with a method-specific labelled workspace.
Product Discovery
MVP Test Matrix