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| Criterion | ![]() Decision Making PERT Estimation | ![]() Operations MORT Analysis | ![]() Operations Family Tree Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes. | For a safety-relevant event or a system with high protection requirements, the method examines where controls failed. It exposes both technical and organizational gaps. | For a series of incidents with a similar pattern, the method arranges individual events as branches of a common origin. It makes visible which conditions keep recurring. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | High | Medium |
Timedifferent | 15-45 min | Mehrere Tage bis Wochen | 2-4 h |
Participantsdifferent | 1-8 | 2-6 | 2-6 |
Formatsame | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | PERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk Notes | MORT Worksheets, Findings per Branch, Corrective Actions, Systemic Recommendations | Family Tree Diagram, Pattern Notes, Systemic Measures |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationUncertaintyRisk | Root causeSafetySystemicIncident | Root causePatternsIncidentSystemic |
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