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| Criterion |  Decision Making PERT Estimation |  Business Strategy GAP Analysis |  Decision Making Wideband Delphi |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes. | GAP Analysis compares the current state with a target picture and makes the distance manageable. It becomes useful when, ahead of new initiatives, it must become clear which capabilities, processes, or resources are missing. | A single opinion rarely holds up for planning when the future is genuinely uncertain. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as an Estimate Range, Assumption Log, and Expert Consensus Notes. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Medium | High |
Timedifferent | 15-45 min | 1-3 h | 1-4 h or multiple rounds |
Participantsdifferent | 1-8 | 2-8 | 4-12 Experten |
Formatsame | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | PERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk Notes | Gap Matrix, Action Plan, Risk Notes | Estimate Range, Assumption Log, Expert Consensus Notes |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationUncertaintyRisk | StrategyAnalysisPlanning | EstimationExpertsForecasting |
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Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.
