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| Criterion |  Decision Making PERT Estimation |  Growth Funnel Analysis |  Product Discovery Assumption Mapping |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes. | When many visitors or users drop off along the way, the reason behind the number often stays hidden. Funnel Analysis exposes these transitions and makes visible exactly where the path collapses. | When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first. |
Complexitysame | Medium | Medium | Medium |
Timedifferent | 15-45 min | 1-3 h | 45-60 min |
Participantsdifferent | 1-8 | 1-5 | 2-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | PERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk Notes | Funnel report, Drop-off analysis, Optimization hypotheses | Assumption map, Test backlog, Risk ranking |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationUncertaintyRisk | AnalyticsConversionGrowth | AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation |
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