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| Criterion |  Decision Making PERT Estimation |  Facilitation Dot Voting |  Product Discovery Assumption Mapping |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes. | When a workshop has produced too many options and the group needs to condense quickly, dot voting makes preferences visible in a short time. It bundles individual votes into a solid signal for the next selection. | When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Low | Medium |
Timedifferent | 15-45 min | 5-15 min | 45-60 min |
Participantsdifferent | 1-8 | 3-20 | 2-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | PERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk Notes | Ranked list, Consensus signal, Shortlist | Assumption map, Test backlog, Risk ranking |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationUncertaintyRisk | FacilitationVotingConsensusPrioritization | AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation |
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