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| Criterion |  Decision Making PERT Estimation |  Facilitation Decision Jam |  Product Discovery Assumption Mapping |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes. | When a decision is stuck, Decision Jam loosens the knot through structured separation of problem, idea, and selection. The format creates movement without jumping prematurely at the first seemingly elegant answer. | When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Low | Medium |
Timedifferent | 15-45 min | 60-90 min | 45-60 min |
Participantsdifferent | 1-8 | 4-10 | 2-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | PERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk Notes | Problem Cluster, Prioritized Challenge, Experiment | Assumption map, Test backlog, Risk ranking |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationUncertaintyRisk | FacilitationDecisionProblem solvingWorkshop | AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation |
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