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| Criterion |  Decision Making PERT Estimation |  Decision Making Assumption Surfacing |  Facilitation Nominal Group Technique |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes. | Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it. | When loud voices could dominate a round, Nominal Group Technique protects individual thinking time from group effects. It collects ideas separately first and only then enables shared weighting. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Low | Medium |
Timedifferent | 15-45 min | 45-90 min | 60-120 min |
Participantsdifferent | 1-8 | 2-8 | 5-12 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | PERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk Notes | Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning Plan | Ranked Ideas, Clarified Options, Group Priority |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationUncertaintyRisk | AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery | FacilitationPrioritizationVotingInclusion |
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