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| Criterion |  Decision Making PERT Estimation |  Decision Making Assumption Surfacing |  Facilitation Dot Voting |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes. | Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it. | When a workshop has produced too many options and the group needs to condense quickly, dot voting makes preferences visible in a short time. It bundles individual votes into a solid signal for the next selection. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Low | Low |
Timedifferent | 15-45 min | 45-90 min | 5-15 min |
Participantsdifferent | 1-8 | 2-8 | 3-20 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | PERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk Notes | Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning Plan | Ranked list, Consensus signal, Shortlist |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationUncertaintyRisk | AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery | FacilitationVotingConsensusPrioritization |
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