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Criterion
Paper illustration for PERT Estimation.
Decision Making
PERT Estimation
Paper illustration for Affinity Estimation.
Agile
Affinity Estimation
Paper illustration of DIBB with its method-specific working model.
Product Strategy
DIBB
Purposedifferent
On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes.When many tasks need to be classified quickly, it sorts them by perceived effort and similarity. It reduces the effort of fine-grained estimation for large volumes.DIBB helps clarify target groups, value, goals, and priorities by making the logic behind a decision explicit. It captures results as a DIBB document, belief list, bet list, and learning report.
Complexitydifferent
MediumMediumLow
Timedifferent
15-45 min30-90 min1-2 h
Participantsdifferent
1-83-122-8
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
PERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk NotesAffinity Size Map, Grouped Estimates, Unclear ItemsDIBB document, Belief list, Bet list, Learning report
Tagsno overlap
EstimationUncertaintyRisk
EstimationBacklogRelative sizing
StrategyDecisionAssumptionsHypothesis
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Often compared together

Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.

Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Paper illustration of Business Model Stress Test with its method-specific working model.
Business Strategy
Business Model Stress Test