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| Criterion |  Decision Making PERT Estimation |  Operations ABC Analysis |  Decision Making Assumption Surfacing |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes. | With many similar objects of differing economic significance, the method prioritizes effort by effect. It separates what needs regular steering from what rarely needs attention. | Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Low | Low |
Timedifferent | 15-45 min | 30-60 min | 45-90 min |
Participantsdifferent | 1-8 | 1-5 | 2-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | PERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk Notes | ABC Classification, Focus Rules, Control List | Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning Plan |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationUncertaintyRisk | PrioritizationOperationsPortfolio | AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery |
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