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Criterion
Paper illustration for OODA Loop.
Decision Making
OODA Loop
Paper illustration for Three-Point Estimation.
Decision Making
Three-Point Estimation
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Purposedifferent
In dynamic situations, decisions become outdated faster than they can be prepared. The OODA Loop holds observing, orienting, deciding, and acting together as a recurring rhythm so reaction does not slide into inertia.A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes.Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.
Complexitydifferent
MediumMediumLow
Timedifferent
15-60 min je Zyklus10-30 min je Item45-90 min
Participantsdifferent
1-81-82-8
Formatsame
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Situation Assessment, Decision Loop, Action UpdatesThree-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption NotesAssumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning Plan
Tagsno overlap
DecisionChangeLearningStrategy
EstimationUncertaintyForecasting
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
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Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Paper illustration of DIBB with its method-specific working model.
Product Strategy
DIBB
Paper illustration of the Force Field Analysis working structure.
Decision Making
Force Field Analysis
Paper illustration for PERT Estimation.
Decision Making
PERT Estimation