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| Criterion |  Agile NoEstimates |  Decision Making Three-Point Estimation |  Business Strategy Value Chain Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When estimating slows a team down more than it helps, it shifts the focus to flow, small slices, and real lead time. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, and Slicing Rules. | A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes. | Value Chain Analysis shows where value is created, costs accrue, and differentiation becomes possible along the process. It compares strengths, risks, market logic, and courses of action. The result is captured as a value-chain map and lever list. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Medium | High |
Timedifferent | laufend | 10-30 min je Item | Half day |
Participantsdifferent | 2-12 | 1-8 | 3-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, Slicing Rules | Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption Notes | Value Chain Map, Lever List |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationForecastingFlow | EstimationUncertaintyForecasting | StrategyBusiness modelDiagnosisAnalysis |
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