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Criterion
Paper illustration for NoEstimates.
Agile
NoEstimates
Paper illustration for PERT Estimation.
Decision Making
PERT Estimation
Paper illustration of the Lightning Decision Jam working structure.
Facilitation
Decision Jam
Purposedifferent
When estimating slows a team down more than it helps, it shifts the focus to flow, small slices, and real lead time. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, and Slicing Rules.On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes.When a decision is stuck, Decision Jam loosens the knot through structured separation of problem, idea, and selection. The format creates movement without jumping prematurely at the first seemingly elegant answer.
Complexitydifferent
MediumMediumLow
Timedifferent
laufend15-45 min60-90 min
Participantsdifferent
2-121-84-10
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, Slicing RulesPERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk NotesProblem Cluster, Prioritized Challenge, Experiment
Tagsno overlap
EstimationForecastingFlow
EstimationUncertaintyRisk
FacilitationDecisionProblem solvingWorkshop
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Paper illustration for Three-Point Estimation.
Decision Making
Three-Point Estimation
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Paper illustration of the Consensus Workshop working structure.
Facilitation
Consensus Workshop
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method