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Criterion
Paper illustration for NoEstimates.
Agile
NoEstimates
Paper illustration for PERT Estimation.
Decision Making
PERT Estimation
Paper illustration for Causal Factor Analysis.
Operations
Causal Factor Analysis
Purposedifferent
When estimating slows a team down more than it helps, it shifts the focus to flow, small slices, and real lead time. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, and Slicing Rules.On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes.For an event with a complicated course, the method breaks down the contributing factors along the timeline. It shows how conditions, decisions, and reactions together produce a course of events.
Complexitydifferent
MediumMediumHigh
Timedifferent
laufend15-45 min2-6 h
Participantsdifferent
2-121-83-10
Formatsame
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, Slicing RulesPERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk NotesEvent Timeline, Causal Factor Chart, Cause List, Corrective Actions
Tagsno overlap
EstimationForecastingFlow
EstimationUncertaintyRisk
CausalityIncidentRoot causeTimeline
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Paper illustration for Three-Point Estimation.
Decision Making
Three-Point Estimation
Paper illustration of Barrier Analysis with its method-specific working model.
Operations
Barrier Analysis
Paper illustration for Current Reality Tree
Systems Thinking
Current Reality Tree