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| Criterion |  Agile NoEstimates |  Systems Thinking Future Reality Tree |  Facilitation Alignment Mapping |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When estimating slows a team down more than it helps, it shifts the focus to flow, small slices, and real lead time. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, and Slicing Rules. | A Future Reality Tree shows how desired actions are meant to lead to a better system state. The method checks whether a path of change holds together logically before time flows into implementation. | When several people work toward one goal but hold different mental maps, Alignment Mapping makes the discrepancies visible. It arranges goals, assumptions, and priorities so shared direction becomes verifiable. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | High | Medium |
Timedifferent | laufend | 2-4 h | 1-2 h |
Participantsdifferent | 2-12 | 3-8 | 4-12 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, Slicing Rules | Future Reality Tree, Negative Branches, Assumption List, Improved Injections | Alignment Map, Open Issues, Decision Questions |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationForecastingFlow | Theory of ConstraintsSystems thinkingChange | AlignmentStakeholdersStrategyFacilitation |
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