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| Criterion |  Agile NoEstimates |  Systems Thinking Current Reality Tree |  Operations MORT Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When estimating slows a team down more than it helps, it shifts the focus to flow, small slices, and real lead time. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, and Slicing Rules. | A Current Reality Tree condenses many symptoms into a few causal chains. The method makes visible which core problems drive several negative effects at once. | For a safety-relevant event or a system with high protection requirements, the method examines where controls failed. It exposes both technical and organizational gaps. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | High | High |
Timedifferent | laufend | 2-6 h | Mehrere Tage bis Wochen |
Participantsdifferent | 2-12 | 3-8 | 2-6 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, Slicing Rules | Current Reality Tree, Core Problems, Intervention Ideas | MORT Worksheets, Findings per Branch, Corrective Actions, Systemic Recommendations |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationForecastingFlow | Systems thinkingRoot causeConstraintsCausality | Root causeSafetySystemicIncident |
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