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| Criterion |  Product Strategy Lean Canvas |  Systems Thinking Evaporating Cloud |  Decision Making Delphi Method |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When an early product bet still has too many open points, it brings target group, problem, and assumptions into a single view. It condenses the idea so core risks become nameable. | The method makes visible why two seemingly incompatible demands arise and which assumption must be tested to resolve the conflict. | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Medium | High |
Timedifferent | 45-90 min | 60-120 min | 1-4 Wochen |
Participantsdifferent | 1-6 | 2-8 | 6-30 Experten |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop | Async |
Outputdifferent | Lean Canvas, Core Assumptions, Experiment Backlog | Conflict Cloud, Assumption List, Breakthrough Ideas, Next Experiments | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes |
Tagsno overlap | StartupLeanAssumptionsBusiness model | Theory of ConstraintsAssumptionsSystems thinking | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy |
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