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| Criterion |  Product Strategy Lean Canvas |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Decision Making Assumption Surfacing |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When an early product bet still has too many open points, it brings target group, problem, and assumptions into a single view. It condenses the idea so core risks become nameable. | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | High | Low |
Timedifferent | 45-90 min | 1-4 Wochen | 45-90 min |
Participantsdifferent | 1-6 | 6-30 Experten | 2-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Lean Canvas, Core Assumptions, Experiment Backlog | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning Plan |
Tagsno overlap | StartupLeanAssumptionsBusiness model | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery |
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